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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.87+1.74vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.59+3.05vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.67+0.04vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.52+1.03vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.85+0.55vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.00-0.18vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia0.79-4.19vs Predicted
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8American University-1.01-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74North Carolina State University0.8728.7%1st Place
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5.05William and Mary-0.595.7%1st Place
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3.04Virginia Tech0.6722.2%1st Place
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5.03University of Virginia-0.525.8%1st Place
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5.55University of Maryland-0.854.4%1st Place
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5.82Penn State University-1.004.2%1st Place
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2.81University of Virginia0.7925.8%1st Place
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5.96American University-1.013.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brelage | 28.7% | 22.9% | 18.8% | 14.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Finian Knight | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 18.8% | 16.7% | 11.3% |
| James Lilyquist | 22.2% | 21.1% | 20.2% | 16.6% | 11.3% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Henry Myrick | 5.8% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 11.3% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 20.9% | 19.6% |
| Makenna Labor | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 21.0% | 26.2% |
| Andrew Montague | 25.8% | 23.9% | 19.4% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Curtis | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 20.0% | 30.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.