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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.33+5.81vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+3.49vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+3.84vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.74-1.08vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay0.56+8.63vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.63-0.15vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.14+0.36vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+1.27vs Predicted
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9University of Washington1.53+0.69vs Predicted
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10University of British Columbia0.70+3.07vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.57-1.48vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine1.06-0.29vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.61+0.58vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California1.96-5.95vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University0.46-1.21vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis0.13-0.84vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-0.00-1.42vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley1.36-7.31vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay0.56-5.37vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-3.97vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands-2.13-0.85vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-0.11-6.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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5.49University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.1%1st Place
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6.84University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
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2.92Stanford University3.740.3%1st Place
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13.63California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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5.85Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.36University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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9.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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9.69University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
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13.07University of British Columbia0.700.0%1st Place
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9.52University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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11.71University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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13.58University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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8.05University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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13.79Western Washington University0.460.0%1st Place
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15.16University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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15.58San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
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10.69University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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13.63California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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16.03University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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20.15California State University Channel Islands-2.130.0%1st Place
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15.82University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Wong | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 28.8% | 22.8% | 17.9% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 8.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Georg Lauritsen | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marijke Jorna | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Rall | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Migliardi | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 76.9% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.