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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia0.79+1.79vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.87+0.72vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-0.52+2.16vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.67-0.94vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.59+0.17vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.85-0.54vs Predicted
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7American University-1.01-1.09vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-1.00-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79University of Virginia0.7926.7%1st Place
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2.72North Carolina State University0.8727.5%1st Place
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5.16University of Virginia-0.525.8%1st Place
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3.06Virginia Tech0.6719.7%1st Place
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5.17William and Mary-0.596.7%1st Place
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5.46University of Maryland-0.855.5%1st Place
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5.91American University-1.013.5%1st Place
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5.74Penn State University-1.004.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Montague | 26.7% | 23.4% | 19.8% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Brelage | 27.5% | 24.1% | 20.3% | 13.9% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Henry Myrick | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 13.1% |
| James Lilyquist | 19.7% | 21.4% | 22.2% | 17.3% | 11.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Finian Knight | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 17.9% | 13.5% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 18.8% | 19.2% |
| Ryan Curtis | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 21.3% | 28.1% |
| Makenna Labor | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 20.1% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.