← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California1.61+5.48vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara3.09+0.98vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii1.88+2.78vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+2.35vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+4.09vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley1.66+0.38vs Predicted
-
7California State University Monterey Bay-0.56+7.38vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University3.01-4.85vs Predicted
-
9University of British Columbia-0.12+3.62vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley0.04+2.14vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+0.87vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles0.52-1.32vs Predicted
-
13University of Southern California0.28-1.87vs Predicted
-
14Western Washington University0.24-2.46vs Predicted
-
15University of Washington0.79-5.70vs Predicted
-
16University of California at San Diego-0.45-2.09vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Davis-0.38-3.32vs Predicted
-
18California State University Monterey Bay-0.56-3.62vs Predicted
-
19California State University Channel Islands-0.97-3.40vs Predicted
-
20San Diego State University-0.25-7.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.48University of Southern California1.610.1%1st Place
-
2.98University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.3%1st Place
-
5.78University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
-
6.35University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
-
9.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
-
6.38University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
-
14.38California State University Monterey Bay-0.560.0%1st Place
-
3.15Stanford University3.010.3%1st Place
-
12.62University of British Columbia-0.120.0%1st Place
-
12.14University of California at Berkeley0.040.0%1st Place
-
11.87University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
-
10.68University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
-
11.13University of Southern California0.280.0%1st Place
-
11.54Western Washington University0.240.0%1st Place
-
9.3University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
-
13.91University of California at San Diego-0.450.0%1st Place
-
13.68University of California at Davis-0.380.0%1st Place
-
14.38California State University Monterey Bay-0.560.0%1st Place
-
15.6California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
-
12.95San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Comerford | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Stapleton | 27.3% | 22.3% | 17.6% | 13.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kraus | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Elliott Elliott | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
| Russell Clarida | 25.1% | 21.7% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wood | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Paulsen | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Lopez | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Erickson | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Jodie Jacobs | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Elliott Elliott | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 31.4% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.