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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+5.37vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.09+0.94vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.52+7.43vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.61+2.54vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.66+1.49vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.01-2.95vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+1.94vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.88-2.08vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.79+0.18vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California0.28+1.27vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.24+0.44vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+0.20vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.45+0.79vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-0.56+0.47vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.38-1.46vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley0.04-3.84vs Predicted
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17University of British Columbia-0.12-4.27vs Predicted
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18California State University Monterey Bay-0.56-3.53vs Predicted
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19San Diego State University-0.25-5.75vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands-0.97-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
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2.94University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.3%1st Place
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10.43University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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6.54University of Southern California1.610.0%1st Place
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6.49University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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3.05Stanford University3.010.3%1st Place
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8.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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5.92University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
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11.27University of Southern California0.280.0%1st Place
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11.44Western Washington University0.240.0%1st Place
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12.2University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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13.79University of California at San Diego-0.450.0%1st Place
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14.47California State University Monterey Bay-0.560.0%1st Place
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13.54University of California at Davis-0.380.0%1st Place
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12.16University of California at Berkeley0.040.0%1st Place
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12.73University of British Columbia-0.120.0%1st Place
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14.47California State University Monterey Bay-0.560.0%1st Place
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13.25San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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15.29California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kraus | 5.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Stapleton | 27.0% | 24.8% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Mason Comerford | 4.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Russell Clarida | 28.9% | 20.2% | 17.0% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Lopez | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Carter Erickson | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Elliott Elliott | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 14.7% | 17.4% | 0.0% |
| Jodie Jacobs | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Paulsen | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wood | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Elliott Elliott | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 14.7% | 17.4% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 28.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.