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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.67+2.07vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.87+0.89vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.08+1.73vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.79-1.09vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.00+1.01vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.59-0.61vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.70-1.40vs Predicted
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8American University-0.66-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Virginia Tech0.6721.8%1st Place
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2.89North Carolina State University0.8725.6%1st Place
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4.73University of Maryland-0.088.4%1st Place
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2.91University of Virginia0.7925.1%1st Place
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6.01Penn State University-1.003.5%1st Place
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5.39William and Mary-0.595.6%1st Place
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5.6University of Virginia-0.704.7%1st Place
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5.4American University-0.665.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 21.8% | 22.2% | 19.7% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Brelage | 25.6% | 21.3% | 19.8% | 15.8% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Jared Cohen | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 9.2% |
| Andrew Montague | 25.1% | 23.2% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Makenna Labor | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 20.8% | 30.9% |
| Finian Knight | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 18.9% | 17.5% |
| James Unger | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 17.2% | 18.9% | 22.9% |
| James Cottage | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 19.3% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.