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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+5.37vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+6.89vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.61+3.60vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.09-1.13vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay-0.56+9.63vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.66+0.41vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.79+2.46vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.01-4.80vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+2.71vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.24+1.35vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California0.28+0.29vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.52-1.31vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.88-7.44vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia-0.12-1.09vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley0.04-2.95vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay-0.56-1.37vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-0.38-3.34vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-0.25-4.83vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-0.45-5.08vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands-0.97-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
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8.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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6.6University of Southern California1.610.1%1st Place
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2.87University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.3%1st Place
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14.63California State University Monterey Bay-0.560.0%1st Place
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6.41University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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9.46University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
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3.2Stanford University3.010.2%1st Place
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11.71University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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11.35Western Washington University0.240.0%1st Place
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11.29University of Southern California0.280.0%1st Place
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10.69University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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5.56University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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12.91University of British Columbia-0.120.0%1st Place
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12.05University of California at Berkeley0.040.0%1st Place
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14.63California State University Monterey Bay-0.560.0%1st Place
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13.66University of California at Davis-0.380.0%1st Place
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13.17San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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13.92University of California at San Diego-0.450.0%1st Place
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15.27California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kraus | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mason Comerford | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Stapleton | 27.2% | 23.8% | 18.1% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Elliott Elliott | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Russell Clarida | 24.8% | 20.3% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Carter Erickson | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Lopez | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wood | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Paulsen | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Elliott Elliott | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| Jodie Jacobs | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 16.5% | 26.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.