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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.09+2.06vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.01+1.20vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.36+1.67vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.66+2.71vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.61+1.80vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+0.43vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.52+4.05vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.28+3.52vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.00vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.79-0.33vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.24+0.84vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay-0.56+3.08vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-0.47vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia-0.12-0.76vs Predicted
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15University of Victoria-0.42-0.72vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.45-1.59vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay-0.56-1.92vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-0.25-4.45vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands-0.97-2.82vs Predicted
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20University of California at Berkeley0.04-7.51vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-0.38-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.3%1st Place
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3.2Stanford University3.010.2%1st Place
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4.67University of Hawaii2.360.1%1st Place
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6.71University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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6.8University of Southern California1.610.1%1st Place
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6.43University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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11.05University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Southern California0.280.0%1st Place
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9.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
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11.84Western Washington University0.240.0%1st Place
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15.08California State University Monterey Bay-0.560.0%1st Place
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12.53University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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13.24University of British Columbia-0.120.0%1st Place
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14.28University of Victoria-0.420.0%1st Place
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14.41University of California at San Diego-0.450.0%1st Place
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15.08California State University Monterey Bay-0.560.0%1st Place
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13.55San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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16.18California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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12.49University of California at Berkeley0.040.0%1st Place
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14.3University of California at Davis-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neil Stapleton | 25.9% | 23.1% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Russell Clarida | 23.1% | 22.0% | 18.8% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cuylar Zimmerman | 13.2% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mason Comerford | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Lopez | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carter Erickson | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Elliott Elliott | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wood | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Steven Dieleman | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Elliott Elliott | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 16.1% | 27.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Paulsen | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Jodie Jacobs | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.