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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.92+4.50vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.18+2.92vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.69+0.70vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University0.59+2.66vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.15+3.88vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.71-2.29vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara-1.36+5.48vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.91+3.12vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-1.01+2.39vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15-4.95vs Predicted
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11Santa Clara University0.59-4.34vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64-1.67vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-5.69vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.75-3.31vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.44-6.40vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-5.64vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.66-5.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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4.92University of Southern California1.180.1%1st Place
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3.7University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.2%1st Place
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6.66Santa Clara University0.590.1%1st Place
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8.88University of California at San Diego-0.150.0%1st Place
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3.71University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.2%1st Place
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12.48University of California at Santa Barbara-1.360.0%1st Place
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11.12University of California at Davis-0.910.0%1st Place
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11.39University of California at Davis-1.010.0%1st Place
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5.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.1%1st Place
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6.66Santa Clara University0.590.1%1st Place
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10.33University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
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7.31University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.1%1st Place
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10.69University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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9.6University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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11.36University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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13.3University of California at San Diego-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leah Ford | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Kiyotoki | 12.0% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finestone | 20.4% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Rowland | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Sampson Reynolds | 20.6% | 17.7% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Boystak | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 18.7% | 21.6% | 0.0% |
| Burak Kocal | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Konrad Brine | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kripac | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Stephen O'Loughlin | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 33.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.