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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.69+2.78vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.71+1.76vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.18+2.12vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.92+1.91vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64+5.81vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.91+6.08vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara-1.36+6.17vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University0.59-1.21vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-0.38+1.22vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-3.40vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.44-1.57vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.15-3.71vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-3.01vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.75-4.51vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.33-3.84vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University0.59-11.21vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-1.01-6.81vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15-14.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.2%1st Place
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3.76University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.2%1st Place
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5.12University of Southern California1.180.1%1st Place
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5.91University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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10.81University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
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12.08University of California at Davis-0.910.0%1st Place
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13.17University of California at Santa Barbara-1.360.0%1st Place
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6.79Santa Clara University0.590.1%1st Place
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10.22University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
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7.6University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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10.43University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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9.29University of California at San Diego-0.150.0%1st Place
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11.99University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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11.49University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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13.16University of California at San Diego-1.330.0%1st Place
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6.79Santa Clara University0.590.1%1st Place
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12.19University of California at Davis-1.010.0%1st Place
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5.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Finestone | 20.2% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sampson Reynolds | 20.6% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Kiyotoki | 10.5% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kripac | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Burak Kocal | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| William Boystak | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Barry | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Molly Rowland | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Irving Hui | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 23.4% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Konrad Brine | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 10.6% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.