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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.67+2.18vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia0.79+1.00vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.87-0.13vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.08+0.62vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.00+1.06vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.59-0.58vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.70-1.52vs Predicted
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8American University-0.66-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18Virginia Tech0.6722.3%1st Place
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3.0University of Virginia0.7923.1%1st Place
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2.87North Carolina State University0.8725.6%1st Place
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4.62University of Maryland-0.089.6%1st Place
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6.06Penn State University-1.003.8%1st Place
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5.42William and Mary-0.595.3%1st Place
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5.48University of Virginia-0.704.8%1st Place
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5.37American University-0.665.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 22.3% | 19.7% | 17.7% | 16.7% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Montague | 23.1% | 23.2% | 18.9% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Brelage | 25.6% | 22.1% | 20.6% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Jared Cohen | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 8.3% |
| Makenna Labor | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 19.2% | 33.3% |
| Finian Knight | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 18.2% | 18.9% | 18.4% |
| James Unger | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 18.2% | 19.5% |
| James Cottage | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 20.4% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.