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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara0.70+3.80vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.45+1.06vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.51+2.31vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+1.20vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.04+2.02vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara0.71-1.09vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25+2.11vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.12-2.60vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.38-2.07vs Predicted
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11Santa Clara University-0.65-2.21vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-1.01-4.24vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.21-4.73vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.55-5.00vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.33-6.57vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University-0.65-9.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.1%1st Place
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3.06University of California at Santa Barbara1.450.3%1st Place
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5.31University of Southern California0.510.1%1st Place
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5.2University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
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7.02University of California at Los Angeles-0.040.1%1st Place
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4.91University of California at Santa Barbara0.710.1%1st Place
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10.11University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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6.4University of California at Los Angeles0.120.1%1st Place
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7.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.380.0%1st Place
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8.79Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
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9.76University of California at Davis-1.010.0%1st Place
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10.27University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
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11.0University of California at Los Angeles-1.550.0%1st Place
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10.43University of California at San Diego-1.330.0%1st Place
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8.79Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Toomey | 11.7% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Baxter | 26.8% | 23.3% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leo Findlay | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 10.3% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arjun Boddu | 5.2% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Rockwood | 11.5% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Shea Walker | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Konrad Brine | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 0.0% |
| Eddie Figone | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 27.8% | 0.0% |
| Irving Hui | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 18.6% | 16.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.