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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.45+2.17vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.51+3.18vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.38+4.86vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+1.28vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.04+2.04vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.12+0.51vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara0.71-3.38vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25+1.16vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.21-0.67vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-1.01-2.19vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.33-2.40vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-0.65-5.30vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University-0.65-6.30vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.55-6.00vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara0.70-13.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17University of California at Santa Barbara1.450.3%1st Place
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5.18University of Southern California0.510.1%1st Place
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7.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.380.0%1st Place
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5.28University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
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7.04University of California at Los Angeles-0.040.0%1st Place
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6.51University of California at Los Angeles0.120.1%1st Place
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4.62University of California at Santa Barbara0.710.1%1st Place
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10.16University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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10.33University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
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9.81University of California at Davis-1.010.0%1st Place
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10.6University of California at San Diego-1.330.0%1st Place
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8.7Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
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8.7Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
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11.0University of California at Los Angeles-1.550.0%1st Place
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4.74University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Baxter | 28.2% | 20.3% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leo Findlay | 10.2% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Shea Walker | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 8.8% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arjun Boddu | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Noah Rockwood | 13.8% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Konrad Brine | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Irving Hui | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 18.1% | 18.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Eddie Figone | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 18.1% | 26.7% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 12.0% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.