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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.45+2.16vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+3.07vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.70+1.79vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.12+2.49vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.04+0.07vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara0.71-3.06vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.38-1.37vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25+0.20vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California0.51-5.59vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.21-1.65vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-1.01-3.21vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University-0.65-6.29vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University-0.65-7.29vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.33-6.56vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.55-7.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16University of California at Santa Barbara1.450.3%1st Place
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5.07University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
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4.79University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.1%1st Place
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6.49University of California at Los Angeles0.120.1%1st Place
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7.07University of California at Los Angeles-0.040.0%1st Place
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4.94University of California at Santa Barbara0.710.1%1st Place
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7.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.380.0%1st Place
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10.2University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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5.41University of Southern California0.510.1%1st Place
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10.35University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
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9.79University of California at Davis-1.010.0%1st Place
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8.71Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
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8.71Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
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10.44University of California at San Diego-1.330.0%1st Place
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10.96University of California at Los Angeles-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Baxter | 27.8% | 21.6% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Arjun Boddu | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Rockwood | 11.4% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea Walker | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 18.0% | 0.0% |
| Leo Findlay | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| Konrad Brine | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Irving Hui | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
| Eddie Figone | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 19.8% | 24.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.