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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.45+2.09vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+2.91vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-0.04+3.74vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University-0.65+3.46vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara0.71-1.12vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.55+3.83vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.12-1.94vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara0.70-5.26vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.38-3.24vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California0.51-6.69vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.21-3.01vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-1.01-4.55vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-5.07vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University-0.65-7.54vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-2.79-5.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09University of California at Santa Barbara1.450.3%1st Place
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4.91University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
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6.74University of California at Los Angeles-0.040.1%1st Place
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8.46Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
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4.88University of California at Santa Barbara0.710.1%1st Place
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10.83University of California at Los Angeles-1.550.0%1st Place
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6.06University of California at Los Angeles0.120.1%1st Place
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4.74University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.1%1st Place
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7.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.380.0%1st Place
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5.31University of Southern California0.510.1%1st Place
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9.99University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
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9.45University of California at Davis-1.010.0%1st Place
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9.93University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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8.46Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
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12.84University of California at San Diego-2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Baxter | 27.6% | 22.1% | 15.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 11.5% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arjun Boddu | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Noah Rockwood | 10.6% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eddie Figone | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 24.4% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 13.1% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea Walker | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Leo Findlay | 9.7% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Konrad Brine | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Nelson | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 62.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.