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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.45+2.12vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara0.70+2.58vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+2.09vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.71+0.77vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.12+1.41vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.38+1.82vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-1.01+1.17vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University-0.65-0.58vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.04-4.22vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California0.51-6.72vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University-0.65-4.58vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.21-3.97vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-4.98vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.55-5.35vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-2.79-5.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12University of California at Santa Barbara1.450.3%1st Place
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4.58University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.1%1st Place
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5.09University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
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4.77University of California at Santa Barbara0.710.1%1st Place
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6.41University of California at Los Angeles0.120.1%1st Place
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7.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.380.0%1st Place
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9.17University of California at Davis-1.010.0%1st Place
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8.42Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
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6.78University of California at Los Angeles-0.040.1%1st Place
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5.28University of Southern California0.510.1%1st Place
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8.42Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
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10.03University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
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10.02University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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10.65University of California at Los Angeles-1.550.0%1st Place
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12.86University of California at San Diego-2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Baxter | 27.7% | 22.7% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 13.2% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Rockwood | 10.9% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Shea Walker | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Konrad Brine | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 11.0% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Arjun Boddu | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Leo Findlay | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 16.5% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Eddie Figone | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 23.5% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Nelson | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 14.1% | 63.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.