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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.45+2.09vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+3.10vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-1.01+5.62vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.12+1.39vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.70-2.15vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara0.71-3.20vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.38-1.17vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California0.51-4.66vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-0.59vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.04-6.05vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.55-2.81vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.21-4.50vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University-0.65-7.16vs Predicted
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17University of Victoria-1.69-5.50vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University-0.65-9.16vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-2.79-5.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09University of California at Santa Barbara1.450.3%1st Place
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5.1University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
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9.62University of California at Davis-1.010.0%1st Place
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6.39University of California at Los Angeles0.120.1%1st Place
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4.85University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.1%1st Place
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4.8University of California at Santa Barbara0.710.1%1st Place
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7.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.380.0%1st Place
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5.34University of Southern California0.510.1%1st Place
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10.41University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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6.95University of California at Los Angeles-0.040.1%1st Place
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11.19University of California at Los Angeles-1.550.0%1st Place
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10.5University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
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8.84Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
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11.5University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
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8.84Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
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13.57University of California at San Diego-2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Baxter | 27.2% | 22.0% | 17.9% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Konrad Brine | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Rockwood | 11.7% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea Walker | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Leo Findlay | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Arjun Boddu | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eddie Figone | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 16.5% | 18.2% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Craig | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 20.8% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Nelson | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 15.6% | 58.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.