← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.74+2.04vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+3.51vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii2.14+4.44vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California1.96+3.96vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles0.61+8.39vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+3.63vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-0.18vs Predicted
-
8University of Southern California2.33-1.41vs Predicted
-
9California State University Monterey Bay0.56+4.52vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University2.63-4.23vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Berkeley1.57-1.53vs Predicted
-
12Western Washington University0.46+2.04vs Predicted
-
13California State University Monterey Bay0.56+0.52vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09+2.07vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Irvine1.06-3.41vs Predicted
-
16University of British Columbia0.70-3.12vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Davis0.13-1.86vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Berkeley1.36-7.66vs Predicted
-
19University of Washington1.53-9.02vs Predicted
-
20San Diego State University-0.00-4.30vs Predicted
-
21University of California at San Diego-0.11-4.95vs Predicted
-
22California State University Channel Islands-2.13-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.04Stanford University3.740.3%1st Place
-
5.51University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.1%1st Place
-
7.44University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
-
7.96University of Southern California1.960.0%1st Place
-
13.39University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
-
9.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
-
6.82University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
-
6.59University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
-
13.52California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
-
5.77Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
-
9.47University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
-
14.04Western Washington University0.460.0%1st Place
-
13.52California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
-
16.07University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
-
11.59University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
-
12.88University of British Columbia0.700.0%1st Place
-
15.14University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
-
10.34University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
-
9.98University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
-
15.7San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
-
16.05University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
-
20.07California State University Channel Islands-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Dow | 29.7% | 21.2% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 9.9% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marijke Jorna | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 19.0% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Georg Lauritsen | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Rall | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 19.2% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Migliardi | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 9.4% | 75.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.