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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.87+1.81vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.67+1.11vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia0.79-0.05vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.59+1.28vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-0.33-0.22vs Predicted
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6American University-1.01-0.02vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.85-1.33vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-0.70-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81North Carolina State University0.8727.9%1st Place
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3.11Virginia Tech0.6721.2%1st Place
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2.95University of Virginia0.7924.0%1st Place
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5.28William and Mary-0.596.5%1st Place
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4.78Penn State University-0.337.7%1st Place
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5.98American University-1.013.2%1st Place
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5.67University of Maryland-0.854.1%1st Place
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5.42University of Virginia-0.705.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brelage | 27.9% | 21.9% | 19.0% | 14.5% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| James Lilyquist | 21.2% | 20.9% | 20.7% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Montague | 24.0% | 22.9% | 18.8% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Finian Knight | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 18.8% | 16.7% |
| Justin Marquez | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 9.8% |
| Ryan Curtis | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 20.0% | 31.5% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 17.3% | 19.8% | 22.9% |
| James Unger | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 21.0% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.