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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+4.45vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.14+5.44vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.33+3.71vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.74-1.11vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.96+3.24vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+1.01vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.63-1.34vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.56+5.39vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+0.37vs Predicted
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10University of Washington1.53-0.20vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.57-1.44vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine1.06-0.29vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.61+0.51vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley1.36-3.61vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis0.13+0.08vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay0.56-2.61vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University0.46-3.05vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-0.00-2.41vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-0.11-2.85vs Predicted
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20University of British Columbia0.70-6.92vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-5.05vs Predicted
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22California State University Channel Islands-2.13-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.1%1st Place
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7.44University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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2.89Stanford University3.740.3%1st Place
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8.24University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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7.01University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
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5.66Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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13.39California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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9.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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9.8University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
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9.56University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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11.71University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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13.51University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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10.39University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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15.08University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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13.39California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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13.95Western Washington University0.460.0%1st Place
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15.59San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
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16.15University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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13.08University of British Columbia0.700.0%1st Place
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15.95University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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20.09California State University Channel Islands-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling Henken | 10.9% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 28.7% | 23.9% | 16.5% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Marijke Jorna | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Rall | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 19.8% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Georg Lauritsen | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 18.2% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Migliardi | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 8.8% | 75.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.