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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+5.97vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+3.50vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+6.80vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.74-1.07vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.14+2.48vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.56+7.97vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.96+0.90vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.33-1.08vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.61+4.72vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.57-0.43vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.36-0.69vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine1.06-0.22vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.46+1.28vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.63-8.08vs Predicted
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15University of Washington1.53-4.88vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis0.13-0.57vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-0.00-0.82vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-1.76vs Predicted
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19University of Victoria-0.41-1.75vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay0.56-6.03vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-0.11-4.46vs Predicted
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22University of British Columbia0.70-8.74vs Predicted
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23California State University Channel Islands-2.13-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
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5.5University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.1%1st Place
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9.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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2.93Stanford University3.740.3%1st Place
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7.48University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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13.97California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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7.9University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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6.92University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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13.72University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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9.57University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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10.31University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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11.78University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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14.28Western Washington University0.460.0%1st Place
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5.92Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.12University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
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15.43University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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16.18San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
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16.24University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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17.25University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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13.97California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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16.54University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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13.26University of British Columbia0.700.0%1st Place
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20.94California State University Channel Islands-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simone Staff | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 10.5% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 30.2% | 23.9% | 15.6% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marijke Jorna | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 8.6% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Rall | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Colin Bishop | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 21.0% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Georg Lauritsen | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Migliardi | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 10.4% | 73.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.