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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.59+1.98vs Predicted
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2American University-0.86+3.15vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.97-0.65vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.21+0.30vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.34-0.98vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.69-0.96vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-1.79-0.29vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-0.91-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98North Carolina State University0.5922.1%1st Place
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5.15American University-0.865.9%1st Place
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2.35Virginia Tech0.9734.0%1st Place
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4.3William and Mary-0.2111.0%1st Place
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4.02University of Virginia-0.3411.6%1st Place
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5.04University of Maryland-0.697.6%1st Place
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6.71University of Virginia-1.792.9%1st Place
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5.45Penn State University-0.915.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Wheary | 22.1% | 22.3% | 21.3% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Arey | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 20.0% | 11.8% |
| Zachary Bender | 34.0% | 28.5% | 17.6% | 11.6% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 11.0% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 10.8% | 4.1% |
| Maxwell Penders | 11.6% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 2.1% |
| Eli Leopold | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 19.2% | 11.7% |
| Anne Krieger | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 17.1% | 52.9% |
| Erich Laughlin | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 18.9% | 20.2% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.