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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+7.03vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+9.23vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+6.82vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.16+7.43vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.13vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.14+5.65vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.77+1.96vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-1.85vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.99-1.03vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.20-2.57vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.76-1.85vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.58-1.88vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.49-2.94vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.04-2.28vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.37-8.55vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.41-5.42vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.50-2.87vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.20-11.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.03Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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9.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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11.43University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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9.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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11.65U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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8.96Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.97Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.43Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.15Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.12George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.06Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.72Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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6.45College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.58Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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14.13Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.0Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Ellie Ungar | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 9.5% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.2% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Emma White | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% |
| Charlotte List | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 3.5% |
| Grace Howie | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 12.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 32.6% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.