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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+8.72vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.16+9.84vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+8.23vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.76+4.90vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.16vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+1.76vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.20+0.28vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.14+3.51vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.37-2.55vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.49+0.45vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.72vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.20-4.48vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.04-1.11vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.77-5.30vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.41-4.52vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.99-7.83vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.50-2.94vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.58-8.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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11.84University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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11.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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8.9Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.76Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.28Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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11.51U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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6.45College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.45Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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9.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.52Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.89Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.7Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.48Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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8.17Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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14.06Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.6George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.5% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.0% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Jessica McJones | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.2% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte List | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 4.9% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Grace Howie | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 12.7% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Camille Matile | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% |
| Emma White | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 32.4% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.