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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+8.17vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+5.97vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.35vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.20+3.11vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+5.85vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.41+4.57vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76+2.04vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.990.00vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.49+1.16vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.20-2.52vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.66vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-2.06vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.14-1.53vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.58-4.53vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.04-3.02vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.16-4.40vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.50-2.86vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.37-11.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.17Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.97Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.11Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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10.57Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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9.04Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.0Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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10.16Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.48Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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11.47U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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9.47George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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11.98Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.6University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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14.14Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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6.36College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Rizika | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.5% |
| Camille Matile | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Emma White | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Charlotte List | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Grace Howie | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.8% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 10.9% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 15.7% | 31.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.