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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.20+6.47vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+7.79vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.39vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.20+3.11vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.41+5.40vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+3.17vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.04+5.08vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.37-1.58vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.76-0.02vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.58+0.08vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.49-0.72vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.99-3.62vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.77-4.16vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.50-0.30vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.14-3.40vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.05-8.15vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.16-5.28vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-7.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.47Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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6.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.11Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.4Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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9.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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12.08Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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6.42College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.98Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.08George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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10.28Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.38Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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8.84Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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13.7Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.6U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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7.85Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.72University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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10.73St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Camille Matile | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% |
| Grace Howie | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 13.7% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.6% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| Charlotte List | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 4.5% |
| Emma White | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Gabby Rizika | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 30.2% |
| Jessica McJones | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 10.5% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.