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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.49vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+4.68vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+5.02vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.20+3.14vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.49+5.05vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.76+3.03vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.20+0.18vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.16+3.40vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.58+0.82vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.77-0.74vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.14+0.79vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.50+2.27vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.99-4.98vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-3.40vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.04-3.01vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-6.73vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.41-6.38vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-8.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.68College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.02Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.14Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.05Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.03Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.18Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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11.4University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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9.82George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.26Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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11.79U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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14.27Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.02Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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10.6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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11.99Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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10.62Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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9.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte List | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 8.9% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 11.2% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 33.6% |
| Emma White | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% |
| Grace Howie | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 12.3% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Camille Matile | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 5.1% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.