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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.42vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.41+8.87vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+6.23vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.20+3.12vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+4.47vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.58+3.77vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+0.77vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.04+3.92vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.99-1.00vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-0.54vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+0.09vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.20-4.50vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.49-3.01vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.50-0.26vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.37-8.56vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.14-4.28vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.77-7.86vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.16-6.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.87Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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9.23Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.12Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.77George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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7.77Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.92Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.0Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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11.09St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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7.5Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.99Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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13.74Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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6.44College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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11.72U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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9.14Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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11.36University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Camille Matile | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Grace Howie | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 14.2% |
| Emma White | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 7.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte List | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 29.8% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Jessica McJones | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 10.5% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.