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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.09+6.10vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+4.05vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.18+3.63vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+5.79vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.15+1.60vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.76+2.15vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.52+2.10vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.19+2.39vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+2.27vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+0.81vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.15+3.38vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.50-2.49vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.06-6.20vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-4.43vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.73-2.75vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.11-5.08vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.59-4.03vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.56-9.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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6.05Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.63Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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6.6Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.15George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.1Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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10.39Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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11.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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10.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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14.38Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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9.51Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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6.8Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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12.25Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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10.92Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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12.97University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Riley Legault | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Lola Bushnell | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.1% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.1% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 4.7% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 34.6% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 13.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 15.4% | 17.5% |
| Brittney Slook | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.