← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Virginia-0.34+3.05vs Predicted
-
2William and Mary-0.21+2.30vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech0.97-0.63vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University0.59-1.11vs Predicted
-
5University of Maryland-0.69+0.08vs Predicted
-
6University of Virginia-1.79+0.69vs Predicted
-
7American University-0.86-1.83vs Predicted
-
8Penn State University-0.91-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.05University of Virginia-0.3411.9%1st Place
-
4.3William and Mary-0.219.4%1st Place
-
2.37Virginia Tech0.9734.2%1st Place
-
2.89North Carolina State University0.5924.6%1st Place
-
5.08University of Maryland-0.696.2%1st Place
-
6.69University of Virginia-1.792.4%1st Place
-
5.17American University-0.866.5%1st Place
-
5.44Penn State University-0.914.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Penders | 11.9% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 8.2% | 3.2% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 9.4% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 4.5% |
| Zachary Bender | 34.2% | 27.2% | 18.0% | 12.1% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| William Wheary | 24.6% | 22.6% | 19.0% | 16.7% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Eli Leopold | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 18.0% | 19.4% | 10.8% |
| Anne Krieger | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 17.5% | 51.6% |
| Hannah Arey | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 17.9% | 19.3% | 12.5% |
| Erich Laughlin | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 21.9% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.