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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+5.82vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+4.05vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.06+4.07vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.76+4.03vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.11+5.71vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.18+0.48vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.09-0.14vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+3.14vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.52+0.12vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+0.74vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.50-1.61vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.59+1.12vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.56-4.16vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.15+0.05vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-5.19vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.73-3.50vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-7.01vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.19-7.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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6.05Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.07Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.03George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.71Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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6.48Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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6.86College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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11.14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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9.12Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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10.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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9.39Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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13.12University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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14.05Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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9.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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12.5Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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9.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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10.28Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.4% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Paris Henken | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Delaney Brown | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 19.6% |
| Brittney Slook | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 15.7% | 29.7% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 14.4% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
| Lola Bushnell | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.