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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+5.29vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.50+7.66vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.19+7.99vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.15+2.71vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+5.00vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.09+0.96vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.50+2.45vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.52+1.23vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.06-2.05vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+0.97vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.18-4.26vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.56-2.49vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-1.65vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-4.22vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.77-2.63vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.76-7.65vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.73-4.26vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.59-5.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.66Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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10.99Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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6.71Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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10.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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6.96College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.45Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.23Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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6.95Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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6.74Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Naval Academy2.560.0%1st Place
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11.35St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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12.37Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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8.35George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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12.74Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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12.93University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Lola Bushnell | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.4% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Paris Henken | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Daisy Holthus | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 6.7% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Brittney Slook | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 10.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 16.0% |
| Riley Legault | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 18.0% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.