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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+6.25vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+4.47vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.50+6.95vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.09+3.22vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.06+2.31vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+4.34vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.50+2.68vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.76+0.46vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.18-2.22vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.73+3.01vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.59+2.38vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.19-0.71vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.77-0.52vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-3.96vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.56-5.60vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-9.34vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-5.09vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.52-8.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.25Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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6.47Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.95Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.22College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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7.31Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.68Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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8.46George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.78Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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13.01Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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13.38University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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11.29Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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12.48Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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10.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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6.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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11.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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9.39Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Daisy Holthus | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Paris Henken | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Riley Legault | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 18.6% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 23.2% |
| Lola Bushnell | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% |
| Hana Zwick | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 14.9% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Brittney Slook | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Emily Haig | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.