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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+6.38vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.09+5.58vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+3.58vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+2.64vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.50+4.69vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.06+1.47vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.72-1.91vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+2.33vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.52+0.65vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.50+0.05vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.76-2.18vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-1.15vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.77-0.39vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.59-0.98vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.73-2.15vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.56-6.44vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.19-5.75vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-6.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.38Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.58College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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6.58Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.69Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.47Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.09Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.65Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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10.05Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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8.82George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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12.61Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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13.02University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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12.85Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Naval Academy2.560.0%1st Place
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11.25Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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11.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Paris Henken | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Daisy Holthus | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Ragna Agerup | 14.5% | 15.4% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% |
| Sarah De Silva | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Riley Legault | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% |
| Katherine Cox | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 16.7% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 19.9% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 17.7% |
| Brittney Slook | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Lola Bushnell | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.