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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+5.65vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.09+5.57vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+7.71vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.72+1.05vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.15+2.11vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.50+3.75vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.52+2.61vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.50+1.74vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.56+0.51vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.06-2.31vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.19+0.20vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.59+1.64vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-2.59vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.77-1.62vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-8.36vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-4.13vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.73-4.01vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.76-9.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.57College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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10.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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5.05Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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7.11Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.75Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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9.61Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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9.74Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Naval Academy2.560.0%1st Place
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7.69Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.2Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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13.64University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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10.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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12.38Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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6.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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11.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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12.99Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.47George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Paris Henken | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 15.1% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% |
| Daisy Holthus | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
| Brittney Slook | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Lola Bushnell | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% |
| Delaney Brown | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 25.7% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 14.7% |
| Emily Haig | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 16.8% | 16.4% |
| Riley Legault | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.