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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary-0.21+3.03vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.97+0.27vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-0.34+0.78vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.01+1.38vs Predicted
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5American University-0.86-0.26vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.59-3.21vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-1.90-0.45vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-1.79-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03William and Mary-0.2110.7%1st Place
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2.27Virginia Tech0.9737.1%1st Place
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3.78University of Virginia-0.3412.0%1st Place
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5.38Penn State University-1.014.8%1st Place
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4.74American University-0.867.6%1st Place
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2.79North Carolina State University0.5923.8%1st Place
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6.55University of Maryland-1.901.8%1st Place
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6.46University of Virginia-1.792.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Stillman | 10.7% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 19.9% | 18.8% | 14.2% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Zachary Bender | 37.1% | 25.9% | 19.5% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Penders | 12.0% | 15.3% | 17.9% | 19.1% | 16.6% | 12.2% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| Nathan Mascia | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 16.6% | 21.8% | 20.9% | 12.3% |
| Hannah Arey | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 18.9% | 15.0% | 6.2% |
| William Wheary | 23.8% | 24.9% | 21.1% | 15.9% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Fuller | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 24.1% | 41.3% |
| Anne Krieger | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 26.2% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.