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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.24+0.85vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University1.06+0.05vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.34-0.28vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-0.48-0.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85University of Notre Dame1.240.4%1st Place
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2.05Grand Valley State University1.060.3%1st Place
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2.72University of Minnesota0.340.2%1st Place
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3.38University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gallagher | 43.7% | 33.3% | 17.1% | 5.9% |
| Elliot Lee | 33.1% | 35.6% | 24.5% | 6.8% |
| Michael Stone | 16.3% | 21.1% | 36.9% | 25.7% |
| John Lowry | 6.9% | 10.0% | 21.5% | 61.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.