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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.24+0.86vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University1.06+0.06vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.39-0.31vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-0.48-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86University of Notre Dame1.240.4%1st Place
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2.06Grand Valley State University1.060.3%1st Place
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2.69University of Minnesota0.390.2%1st Place
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3.39University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gallagher | 43.3% | 33.4% | 17.0% | 6.3% |
| Elliot Lee | 32.9% | 35.0% | 25.1% | 7.0% |
| Cailin Oakes | 16.9% | 22.0% | 36.8% | 24.3% |
| John Lowry | 6.9% | 9.6% | 21.1% | 62.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.