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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.59+1.75vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.34+1.81vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.21+0.98vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.97-1.73vs Predicted
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5American University-0.86-0.21vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.01-0.62vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-1.90-0.44vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-1.79-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75North Carolina State University0.5924.9%1st Place
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3.81University of Virginia-0.3410.8%1st Place
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3.98William and Mary-0.2112.2%1st Place
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2.27Virginia Tech0.9736.6%1st Place
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4.79American University-0.867.0%1st Place
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5.38Penn State University-1.015.0%1st Place
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6.56University of Maryland-1.901.7%1st Place
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6.46University of Virginia-1.791.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Wheary | 24.9% | 24.7% | 21.3% | 15.6% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Maxwell Penders | 10.8% | 14.3% | 18.8% | 21.4% | 16.8% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 12.2% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 36.6% | 27.1% | 18.7% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Arey | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 18.4% | 20.8% | 13.9% | 6.5% |
| Nathan Mascia | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 20.8% | 21.7% | 12.5% |
| Caroline Fuller | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 25.9% | 40.0% |
| Anne Krieger | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 14.8% | 24.5% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.