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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.59+1.58vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.69+2.91vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.21+0.91vs Predicted
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4American University-0.86+0.89vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.34-1.43vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.44-1.79vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-1.01-1.62vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-1.74-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58North Carolina State University0.5932.0%1st Place
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4.91University of Maryland-0.698.0%1st Place
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3.91William and Mary-0.2114.3%1st Place
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4.89American University-0.867.8%1st Place
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3.57University of Virginia-0.3417.2%1st Place
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4.21Virginia Tech-0.4411.9%1st Place
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5.38Penn State University-1.015.7%1st Place
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6.55University of Virginia-1.742.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Wheary | 32.0% | 24.1% | 18.2% | 12.7% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Eli Leopold | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 10.9% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 14.3% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 3.8% |
| Hannah Arey | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 11.1% |
| Maxwell Penders | 17.2% | 17.8% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 11.9% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 4.9% |
| Nathan Mascia | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 20.7% | 17.8% |
| Robert Cantus | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 17.2% | 48.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.