Race 2A

2017-sugar-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
David Graf 5.8% 7.7% 8.0% 8.1% 9.9% 11.5% 15.6% 23.1% 9.1% 1.2%
Megan Ploch 10.4% 10.0% 11.6% 12.6% 13.0% 13.8% 14.2% 11.1% 2.8% 0.5%
Ryan Clulo 13.5% 13.7% 12.3% 14.2% 14.9% 13.3% 8.8% 7.3% 1.6% 0.4%
Colton Gerber 19.5% 18.0% 16.5% 14.5% 11.2% 10.5% 5.9% 3.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Lane Tobin 18.5% 17.8% 16.9% 15.4% 11.1% 9.7% 6.0% 3.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Mary Berg 16.6% 12.9% 15.5% 13.9% 12.5% 12.2% 9.6% 5.4% 1.4% 0.0%
Lindsey Clark 4.6% 6.9% 7.5% 8.3% 11.6% 11.6% 17.2% 21.8% 9.4% 1.1%
Darby Reddaway 9.9% 11.3% 9.9% 11.2% 12.5% 13.7% 15.8% 11.4% 3.9% 0.4%
Jordan Johnson 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 1.3% 2.0% 1.8% 3.7% 7.8% 39.9% 40.8%
Megan Carugati 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 0.5% 1.3% 1.9% 3.2% 4.9% 30.6% 55.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.