Race 3A

2017-sugar-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ryan Clulo 15.4% 13.5% 14.9% 13.1% 12.7% 11.6% 9.5% 6.9% 2.0% 0.4%
Lane Tobin 18.6% 17.8% 14.9% 14.8% 13.4% 10.1% 6.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Megan Ploch 10.6% 9.6% 10.6% 12.9% 12.7% 15.0% 14.0% 11.1% 3.2% 0.3%
Darby Reddaway 8.2% 10.1% 12.7% 10.8% 14.0% 13.0% 15.2% 12.3% 3.5% 0.2%
Lindsey Clark 6.5% 6.8% 8.0% 9.2% 8.5% 11.2% 17.5% 21.2% 9.4% 1.7%
Colton Gerber 20.9% 18.1% 15.4% 14.5% 11.7% 9.6% 5.4% 3.8% 0.6% 0.0%
David Graf 4.2% 6.9% 7.4% 9.2% 9.0% 14.3% 16.4% 23.1% 8.1% 1.4%
Mary Berg 14.6% 15.7% 14.4% 12.9% 15.2% 11.5% 8.7% 5.4% 1.4% 0.2%
Megan Carugati 0.4% 0.6% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 2.6% 6.0% 31.3% 54.4%
Jordan Johnson 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 1.4% 1.6% 2.5% 4.0% 7.4% 39.7% 41.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.