Race 4A

2017-sugar-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Darby Reddaway 9.9% 11.2% 10.7% 11.0% 12.6% 13.7% 15.3% 10.7% 4.4% 0.5%
Lane Tobin 19.2% 17.3% 14.9% 15.5% 11.7% 10.8% 6.0% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Megan Ploch 9.1% 11.6% 10.2% 11.9% 11.9% 15.0% 15.2% 11.7% 2.8% 0.6%
Lindsey Clark 5.4% 5.5% 8.6% 8.7% 10.0% 12.4% 18.8% 20.8% 8.8% 1.0%
Colton Gerber 19.0% 19.3% 15.9% 15.1% 12.5% 7.9% 5.5% 3.9% 0.9% 0.0%
David Graf 7.2% 5.9% 8.2% 7.2% 11.2% 10.8% 15.2% 23.0% 10.0% 1.3%
Mary Berg 13.5% 14.4% 15.8% 14.9% 13.4% 12.5% 8.8% 5.4% 1.2% 0.1%
Ryan Clulo 15.6% 13.2% 14.2% 13.9% 13.2% 12.7% 8.3% 7.2% 1.5% 0.2%
Jordan Johnson 0.5% 1.4% 0.8% 1.3% 1.8% 2.0% 3.9% 8.0% 39.8% 40.5%
Megan Carugati 0.6% 0.2% 0.7% 0.5% 1.7% 2.2% 3.0% 5.5% 29.9% 55.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.