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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ryan Clulo 14.8% 13.5% 14.7% 12.8% 14.0% 11.7% 9.4% 7.5% 1.2% 0.4%
Lindsey Clark 6.3% 5.9% 7.6% 9.1% 8.7% 11.2% 17.7% 22.8% 9.6% 1.1%
Megan Ploch 10.2% 10.1% 11.0% 12.1% 13.0% 15.7% 13.7% 11.0% 2.8% 0.4%
Lane Tobin 17.6% 19.9% 14.8% 15.3% 12.2% 10.1% 6.1% 3.3% 0.7% 0.0%
David Graf 6.3% 7.5% 7.4% 7.5% 9.8% 12.2% 16.8% 22.6% 8.4% 1.5%
Mary Berg 16.2% 12.5% 14.8% 15.2% 12.3% 12.4% 9.3% 5.7% 1.6% 0.0%
Colton Gerber 18.3% 18.3% 17.3% 14.2% 12.9% 10.0% 5.8% 2.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Darby Reddaway 9.4% 10.5% 11.0% 11.0% 14.5% 12.7% 14.2% 11.7% 4.5% 0.5%
Jordan Johnson 0.4% 1.4% 0.6% 1.7% 1.7% 2.0% 4.0% 7.8% 39.8% 40.6%
Megan Carugati 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 0.9% 2.0% 3.0% 5.5% 30.3% 55.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.