Race 7A

2017-sugar-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Lane Tobin 20.5% 17.4% 15.8% 13.7% 11.4% 9.9% 6.1% 4.2% 0.9% 0.1%
David Graf 6.2% 5.4% 7.0% 8.8% 9.7% 11.8% 17.4% 22.8% 9.7% 1.2%
Darby Reddaway 9.1% 10.5% 9.6% 10.7% 12.8% 15.7% 15.2% 12.1% 3.8% 0.5%
Colton Gerber 18.5% 19.8% 15.9% 13.9% 13.7% 8.7% 5.5% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Megan Ploch 11.3% 10.4% 10.5% 12.9% 13.1% 14.4% 12.5% 11.3% 3.5% 0.1%
Ryan Clulo 15.0% 11.8% 15.6% 14.6% 13.3% 12.1% 8.9% 7.2% 1.5% 0.0%
Mary Berg 12.2% 16.0% 16.4% 14.2% 14.2% 11.3% 8.8% 5.2% 1.6% 0.1%
Lindsey Clark 5.9% 7.0% 8.5% 8.5% 8.9% 12.4% 17.8% 21.8% 8.0% 1.2%
Jordan Johnson 0.7% 1.1% 0.5% 1.8% 1.3% 2.2% 4.2% 7.5% 39.8% 40.9%
Megan Carugati 0.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.9% 1.6% 1.5% 3.6% 4.7% 30.5% 55.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.