Race 1B

2017-sugar-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Malcolm Kriegel 17.0% 14.6% 13.4% 12.0% 12.2% 10.6% 9.8% 7.6% 2.1% 0.7%
Hannah Thayer 9.9% 8.9% 12.1% 11.9% 11.7% 13.2% 11.6% 10.4% 7.8% 2.5%
Mason Chrabaszcz 20.5% 18.1% 14.6% 15.4% 12.8% 8.4% 5.7% 3.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Maria Canovas Gonzalez 13.4% 13.1% 13.4% 14.7% 11.9% 11.9% 9.1% 7.1% 4.2% 1.2%
Maggie Royal 13.8% 14.0% 14.9% 13.4% 13.2% 11.4% 8.3% 6.7% 3.3% 1.0%
Carson Pepper 6.2% 8.1% 6.8% 6.6% 9.5% 11.4% 14.0% 15.3% 14.2% 7.9%
Katherine Byrnes 10.1% 14.1% 13.9% 12.7% 12.2% 12.7% 11.5% 7.8% 3.5% 1.5%
David Sutton 3.1% 3.9% 3.9% 5.7% 5.9% 8.0% 10.2% 17.2% 23.3% 18.8%
Learon McGinn 4.6% 3.3% 4.5% 4.8% 7.3% 8.4% 12.7% 15.8% 20.9% 17.7%
Graham Eger 1.4% 1.9% 2.5% 2.8% 3.3% 4.0% 7.1% 8.9% 19.5% 48.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.