Race 2B

2017-sugar-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mason Chrabaszcz 21.7% 20.4% 15.8% 13.1% 9.9% 8.7% 5.5% 3.0% 1.5% 0.4%
Hannah Thayer 10.1% 8.6% 12.8% 10.7% 12.5% 15.0% 9.7% 10.3% 7.9% 2.4%
Malcolm Kriegel 14.1% 14.4% 12.6% 12.7% 14.7% 11.1% 11.2% 5.5% 3.3% 0.4%
Maggie Royal 12.8% 14.6% 15.0% 13.0% 14.2% 10.4% 9.4% 6.3% 3.4% 0.9%
Katherine Byrnes 12.7% 12.3% 13.2% 12.7% 12.1% 13.1% 11.1% 7.6% 3.9% 1.3%
Maria Canovas Gonzalez 14.3% 14.1% 12.2% 14.1% 12.3% 10.3% 10.7% 7.6% 3.6% 0.8%
David Sutton 2.9% 2.6% 4.4% 5.1% 5.1% 7.9% 11.0% 18.0% 22.1% 20.9%
Learon McGinn 3.7% 4.1% 4.8% 6.5% 7.1% 8.5% 10.3% 15.6% 23.1% 16.3%
Carson Pepper 6.1% 6.9% 7.2% 8.4% 9.6% 11.1% 13.6% 15.3% 14.3% 7.5%
Graham Eger 1.6% 2.0% 2.0% 3.7% 2.5% 3.9% 7.5% 10.8% 16.9% 49.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.