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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University4.49+5.10vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges5.05+2.51vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.37+7.70vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.50+2.07vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.81+3.99vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.99+5.92vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.03+5.00vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.85+4.85vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.56+0.63vs Predicted
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10University of Miami3.50-0.05vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.78-2.14vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida4.17-4.41vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University3.36-2.59vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University4.74-8.63vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.00-3.12vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.26-5.05vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.29-2.37vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.07-6.28vs Predicted
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19University of Washington1.80-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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4.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges5.050.2%1st Place
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10.7University of Vermont3.370.0%1st Place
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6.07Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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8.99Tufts University3.810.0%1st Place
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11.92U. S. Naval Academy2.990.0%1st Place
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12.0Old Dominion University3.030.0%1st Place
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12.85University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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9.63Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Miami3.500.0%1st Place
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8.86College of Charleston3.780.0%1st Place
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7.59University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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10.41Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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5.37Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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11.88SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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10.95St. Mary's College of Maryland3.260.0%1st Place
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14.63Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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11.72Stanford University3.070.0%1st Place
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15.86University of Washington1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Strammer | 9.5% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| John Booth | 18.4% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Pete Hazelett | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Tedd Himler | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Criezis | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| George Prieto | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.3% |
| Collin Leon | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 4.7% |
| Andrew Fox | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.6% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Weiksnar | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Erik Bowers | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Marks | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Chris Barnard | 11.9% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted Green | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 5.6% |
| Gordon Lamphere | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 23.3% |
| Oliver Riihiluoma | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% |
| William Wilder | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.