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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.86+2.15vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.61+1.00vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.85+1.19vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.60vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University0.54-0.35vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.18-1.89vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.07-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15Georgetown University1.8623.1%1st Place
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3.0Old Dominion University1.6124.2%1st Place
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4.19St. Mary's College of Maryland0.8510.7%1st Place
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4.6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.678.7%1st Place
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4.65Georgetown University0.549.0%1st Place
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4.11U. S. Naval Academy1.1813.1%1st Place
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4.3George Washington University1.0711.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Bates | 23.1% | 20.4% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 4.4% |
| Esther Ireland | 24.2% | 20.7% | 19.2% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 6.3% | 2.7% |
| Maisy Sperry | 10.7% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 14.8% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 18.6% | 22.1% |
| Alexa Shea | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 17.5% | 24.3% |
| Ava Farley | 13.1% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 14.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 11.3% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.