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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.59+1.59vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.21+1.97vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.69+1.81vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.34-0.39vs Predicted
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5American University-0.86-0.19vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.01-0.55vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-1.74-0.45vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.44-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59North Carolina State University0.5931.9%1st Place
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3.97William and Mary-0.2113.5%1st Place
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4.81University of Maryland-0.698.8%1st Place
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3.61University of Virginia-0.3415.4%1st Place
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4.81American University-0.868.8%1st Place
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5.45Penn State University-1.016.0%1st Place
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6.55University of Virginia-1.743.0%1st Place
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4.21Virginia Tech-0.4412.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Wheary | 31.9% | 25.0% | 17.2% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 13.5% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 3.3% |
| Eli Leopold | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 9.9% |
| Maxwell Penders | 15.4% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Hannah Arey | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 17.7% | 9.9% |
| Nathan Mascia | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 20.8% | 20.3% |
| Robert Cantus | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 16.8% | 48.7% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 12.5% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.