Race 3B

2017-sugar-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Leigh Collier 13.0% 11.3% 11.9% 12.5% 10.4% 13.5% 13.1% 9.8% 3.4% 1.1%
Malcolm Kriegel 14.2% 14.4% 12.7% 12.7% 13.1% 13.4% 9.7% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6%
Mason Chrabaszcz 19.3% 17.6% 15.6% 15.3% 11.8% 9.0% 6.9% 3.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Hannah Thayer 9.2% 9.8% 11.6% 12.9% 11.6% 12.0% 15.6% 10.7% 5.2% 1.4%
Katherine Byrnes 12.7% 11.3% 14.0% 10.8% 14.3% 13.3% 10.6% 8.3% 3.5% 1.2%
Learon McGinn 5.0% 3.4% 4.2% 5.1% 7.5% 7.8% 12.9% 22.4% 20.5% 11.2%
Graham Eger 1.0% 2.0% 1.9% 1.7% 3.6% 3.3% 6.2% 13.4% 32.7% 34.2%
Maria Canovas Gonzalez 11.9% 15.0% 12.3% 13.5% 12.9% 11.9% 10.6% 8.1% 3.1% 0.7%
Gabby Spring 1.3% 1.5% 1.3% 2.8% 2.1% 2.9% 4.5% 9.2% 25.3% 49.1%
Maggie Royal 12.4% 13.7% 14.5% 12.7% 12.7% 12.9% 9.9% 7.6% 3.1% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.